Mike Bynum has long been a strong voice for my former area of residence, SE Fort Wayne, and has served as the president of his association (Branning Hills) as well as president of the Southeast Area Partnership of neighborhoods. I add this info on Mr.Bynum as you may not be as familiar with him as you are with Mr.Hayhurst.
Both of these men appear to have strong chances at a Democratic win in a heavily Republican district.
The Hayhurst/Souder poll results stick out like the proverbial sore thumb. The fact that Souder is in a dead heat in a poll on extremely friendly turf speaks volumes about his recent public worry about his re-election. Especially given his bragging about "not being worried" about his chances as late as last week.
Results of this nonscientific poll so far:
Question: Which candidate would you vote for if the election were held today?
Hayhurst, Thomas E. (Democrat) votes: 244 50 %
Souder, Mark E (Republican) votes: 243 50 %